Heatwave in October. What are the risks of further temperature increases?
September 2023 was the hottest on record in Europe. October also promises to be unnaturally warm.
The EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3s) programme predicts that 2023 will be the hottest year on record. Countries across Europe have experienced the hottest September since measurements began, and the unseasonably warm weather is set to continue.
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Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Poland, Switzerland and the UK recorded record high temperatures in September 2023, exceeding seasonal norms by 3.6 degrees Celsius.
How hot was September in Europe and Poland?
The French meteorological service Meteo-France recorded an average temperature of 21.5°C, the hottest September since measurements began in 1900. This is more than 3.6°C above the 1991-2020 norm. Germany recorded an average temperature of 17.2°C in September, almost 4 degrees above the 1961-1990 average.
In Poland, too, September was unusually warm. For the first time in the history of measurements, the average temperature in this month (17.7°C) was higher than in June. This is as much as 3.6°C above normal. In the previous warmest September, in 1999, the norm was exceeded by 2.6 degrees.
Will October be colder?
Unnaturally high temperatures in Poland are also forecast for October. They will exceed 25°C and in the hottest parts of the country even reach 28 degrees in the shade.
Western Europe is predicted to develop a "heat dome" in early October, with temperatures rising to 37°C in Portugal and Spain and 35°C in southwest France. The Spanish meteorological agency AEMET says temperatures will rise 10°C above normal for this time of the year.
What are the risks of further temperature rises?
The Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3s) is a European Commission programme that collects verified scientific data on global climate change. Among other things, it publishes a continuously updated data table indicating when, on current trends, global warming will reach the point of a steady increase of 1.5 degrees Celsius.
This is the limit set under the 2015 United Nations Paris Agreement. The agreement aims to keep global warming below this point. According to scientists, it would mean a climate catastrophe, the effects of which will exceed the adaptability of the global community. Today, this point is forecast for December 2034.
Source: euronews.com, twojapogoda.pl
